My current trading mode is mainly medium-term trading, holding positions for at least 15 days, and is mainly guided by macro data and industry information. Some observations and suggestions:
Choice of Trading Cycle: I've found that after lengthening the trading cycle, my win rate has significantly improved. This might be because I’m better at capturing medium-to-long-term market trends rather than short-term market fluctuations when analyzing macro data and industry information. Whether to further lengthen the trading cycle depends on your investment goals, risk tolerance, and understanding of the market.
If I’m confident in predicting long-term trends and my risk tolerance allows, then lengthening the trading cycle may be a good idea.
Utilization of Macro and Industry Information: My understanding of macro and industry information plays a key role in previous successful trades. Continuing to improve my expertise in this area will be more helpful to trading decisions. At the same time, I might also consider learning some new analysis tools or methods to better understand market dynamics.
Understanding Market Sentiment: market sentiment and anticipatory sentiment are becoming increasingly important. Market sentiment directly affects market prices, while anticipatory sentiment influences future market trends. Understanding and grasping these two types of sentiment can help me better predict the market.
Risk Management: I've achieved some quite good trading results, but also need to pay attention to risk management. Whether it's expanding the investment scale or lengthening the trading cycle, both will bring greater risks. Therefore, I need to ensure my risk management strategy can handle these risks.
Continuous Learning and Improvement: The market is constantly changing, and every trade is an opportunity to learn. I should continue to learn from previous trades and identify my strengths and areas for improvement, in order to continually enhance my trading skills.