250616 Merlin Monday Summary

TL;DR

Market Sentiment

  • Bitcoin remains strong with rising institutional and government adoption; retail altcoin outlook stays uncertain.

  • Leading altcoins prove resilience, but token oversupply weakens overall value.

Exchange & Listings

  • CEXs embrace DEX integration for smoother trading and wider adoption.

  • MERL's Kraken listing opens regulated markets; ongoing talks for more exchange listings.

BTCFi Growth

  • BTCFi expands across 19+ chains with major players launching wrapped BTC tokens.

  • BTCFi differs from stablecoins by generating yield on existing Bitcoin supply; rapidly mainstreaming.

MERL's Bonded Staking Option

  • MERL’s 45% APR staking plus shorting offers low-risk yield through hedged arbitrage.

  • This strategy enhances liquidity and risk management, favored by professional traders and institutions.


Summary

Market Sentiment & Altcoin Landscape

Jeff: Bitcoin remains strong, especially as more institutions, companies, and even governments hold it. But for retail traders chasing memes and altcoins, uncertainty persists—it’s neither clearly bullish nor bearish, and this ambiguity has lasted for about six months.

Established altcoins like XRP, ETH, TRX, and SOL have proven staying power with real products and revenue. Tron, for example, has high earnings, and Circle just got IPO approval—clear signs of maturity. But the altcoin space is overcrowded. Exchanges now list 100+ tokens a week, diluting value and making it harder for new tokens to stand out or last.

CEX–DEX Integration and Market Evolution

Jeff: The shift by major exchanges toward DEX integration is a positive development. The line between CEXs and DEXs is blurring—users are interacting with apps without needing to know the backend. This simplifies trading and boosts adoption.

Exchanges like OKX and Binance are also enhancing their wallets with both on-chain and off-chain signals, which help onboard early users and guide decision-making. Overall, it’s a bullish sign for accessibility and user empowerment in crypto, though major shifts take time. Patience is key.

Kraken Listing & Expanding into Regulated Markets

Jeff: Kraken’s addition of Merlin Chain was a major milestone, especially for reaching regulated markets like the U.S., Europe, and Korea. We began the application process in spring, and unlike many Asian exchanges, Kraken requires rigorous compliance, legal opinions, and regulatory checks—making it a strong credibility signal. Listings on platforms like Kraken and Coinbase often serve as benchmarks for Korean exchanges that lack in-house compliance teams.

Although Kraken's trading volume isn't massive, it enables U.S. users to access MERL legally for the first time, which is a big step forward. We're using the BNB Chain standard for now due to its liquidity and security.

As for future listings, yes—we're in talks with all major exchanges, including crypto.com. But due to long waitlists across the board, it’s a gradual process. Over time, we expect to be listed on more platforms, one step at a time.

Multi-Chain Expansion and the Mainstream Rise of BTCFi

Jeff: BTCFi is gaining strong momentum. While many BTC-related projects faded post-TGE, Merlin has kept building—expanding MBTC to over 19 chains, including Sui, Sei, and Core. This cross-chain push brings Bitcoin liquidity to DeFi protocols like DEXs and lending platforms.

Major players are also entering: OKX with XBTC, Coinbase with CBBTC, Binance with BTCB, alongside WBTC and M-BTC. BTCFi isn’t a trend anymore—it’s becoming a foundational layer of crypto finance. Institutions holding BTC now see DeFi yield as a practical use case.

In a year, BTCFi won’t be seen as new or niche—it’ll be standard. Those who once doubted it will realize its real utility: unlocking yield for Bitcoin.

BTCFi vs Stablecoin Boom

Jeff: BTCFi and stablecoins share some institutional interest but differ fundamentally. Stablecoins are permissionless yet regulated and likely to see many new issuances—including government-backed ones—driving broad payment use cases. Bitcoin, however, has a fixed supply; BTCFi revolves around wrapping existing BTC to generate yield in DeFi.

As institutions cautiously explore Bitcoin yield strategies, BTCFi is still early but promising. Yield on Bitcoin (e.g., 8%) excites asset managers, and as circulating supply tightens via ETFs and large holders, BTCFi’s appeal grows. Projects like Merlin act as pioneers, building safe, sustainable solutions that will pave the way for wider adoption by banks and institutions.

How to Utlize MERL’s 45% APR Staking for Short-Term Gains

Jeff: Traders and market makers use arbitrage by staking MERL and simultaneously opening short positions on perpetual exchanges to hedge risk. For example, staking 1 million MERL and shorting an equivalent USD value (with leverage) balances gains and losses. The 45% APR from staking acts as extra yield on top of this hedge. Even if MERL’s price drops drastically, proper hedging minimizes losses, making this a low-risk strategy. Both long and short positions add liquidity and help manage risk, which is common among professional traders and institutions.

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