I’ve recently spent some time with Banyan DAO, thinking about how best to reward contributors and optimize value over time. These thoughts below represent some initial thinking on the matter; I reserve the right to change my mind when presented with new arguments or data!
Banyan DAO is being formed as a way to promote flourishing, invest in people (through training and networking), and invest in new companies (through funding, direct work contributions, and expertise). In designing a compensation and ownership model we have several primary goals which are partially at odds with one another:
The conflict arises when we compare inherently inflationary structures (issuing new DAO stake to onboard new members and recognize contributions) against inherently deflationary goals (resale of stake on a secondary market, necessitating a stake pool which is static or growing slower than overall DAO value). In determining the appropriate inflation rate we must consider the total DAO value rather than treasury value alone.
The following is a concrete proposal for issuing stake in a new DAO. For a deeper discussion of the economic assumptions underlying this proposal, please see the further discussion at the end of this document.
We begin by assuming that every member of the DAO possesses 1 non-transferrable unit of governance, plus a variable amount of loot stake earned through contributions or created in exchange for tribute DAI.
For the special case of pre-season contributors, we begin by seeding the DAO with an arbitrary, fixed amount of loot stake. 10% of all stake is distributed equally among all existing pre-season members. 90% of all stake is distributed to contributing pre-season members in proportion to their work investment.
Effectively, this means that (1) everyone present gets something, and (2) early contributors get most. These loot shares are effectively valueless (empty treasury!), but are expected to grow commensurately as the DAO undertakes economic activities based on the work of the early contributors.
If all you wanted was the plan/proposal you can stop here. But if you want to know the reasons why then continue reading…
Before we can begin to value our DAO and determine a compensation scheme, we should consider the basic operating structure of the DAO and its goals. A few common models:
The chosen Operating Objective is extremely important when considering compensation outcomes!
A traditional Moloch DAO issues tokens in exchange for tribute, and members can rage-quit at any time and receive their portion of the treasury. This model maps most closely to a Partnership with shades of the Private Fund. New DAO stake is issued to incoming members (an inflationary action), but is immediately backed by tribute. This keeps the value of the staking tokens stable over time and effectively precludes traditional “liquidity events” for early founders (trading tokens for houses). All value accrued comes exclusively from the value-generating economic activity of the DAO.
If we want to design a more equitable compensation mechanism that truly scales, we must consider the 3 primary owner/investor classes:
In a Moloch DAO with stable loot stake value and a treasury that increases only through economic activity (running paid events, etc), early contributors are compensated based on cumulative time and tokens invested. Rewards accrue to active participants, but not necessarily early participants who took on additional risk.
Consider the case of the early member who takes on high risk and contributes to the founding of the DAO. For this example, let’s assume that the DAO treasury is roughly constant: there’s a small amount of operating income, but most value is re-invested into the business.
(Aside: yes, I’m aware that a growing, de-risked venture could ultimately lead to a larger treasury and become valuable, so even a smaller stake of this business could become meaningful. But I still maintain that this situation does not accurately compensate for early risk premium, and is emotionally demotivating to early competitors who must “run as fast as they can to stay in the same place".)
So what’s the solution?
Let’s take a brief excursion into the traditional startup world to provide some context. The problem of company founding, scaling, and payout is a well-trodden road charted and paved through decades of trial and error.
In a traditional company, founders take money from Venture-Capital investors and use it to build an organization with a recurring revenue stream. The company’s Market Value is ultimately valued according to its Book Value + Business Value.
This is super important! When determining the value of the business, cash in the bank matters a little bit but it’s the Multiple which has the largest effect.
Example: As of early 2022, a predictable boring business like Citigroup trades at 2.63x earnings while fast-growing and exciting Tesla trades at 175x. Back in 2013 Amazon was reinvesting all of its profits into business growth so it was actually trading at 1000x earnings! That eye-watering multiple was a reflection not of their bank account or profitability, but of their growth and future prospects. It seems to have worked out for them!
The valuation, and thus the payout compensation for early employees, is affected by the multiple more than the current revenue! If founding DAO members ever hope to trade loot stake for houses and retirement funds in the real world we need to consider increasing not only the DAO Book Value (treasury), but also the value of the business.
This implies that the Private Firm and Partnership models are wrong. We must consider an operating objective closer to a Startup / Traditional company, where the treasury may grow, but primary value is derived from growth of the business. Thus the loot stake must be deflationary relative to Market Value, growing at a lesser rate than the overall growth of the business. This makes loot tokens attractive to contributors as well as outside investors. The presence of outside investment additionally encourages the possibility of future liquidity events even in the absence of explicit treasury distributions.
If we want to grow, but we want loot shares to behave as deflationary assets, what is the right amount of dilution to incur in each successive season? Here again we have an opportunity to borrow from the world of traditional Venture Capital.
In typical Startup funding model, a VC firm will invest money into a venture, seeking to acquire approximately 20% of the company. These funds are expected to last 18 months before a new funding round is needed, at which point a further 20% dilution will be contemplated. This level of dilution maps to approximately 1% per month. The company must grow by > 1% per month if it hopes to reach escape velocity and become a self-sustaining venture.
Following this growth model, a new Growth DAO should be able to safely issue new unbacked loot stake, for the purpose of compensating contributors, in the amount of 1% total outstanding loot tokens every month. If done on a quarterly basis, this implies a 3% dilution per round.
I’m explicitly assuming that this ~12% annualized growth rate is reasonable and sustainable for many years into the future. Hopefully, growth significantly exceeds 12% so that contributors see a compounding return on their efforts. If growth eventually stabilizes, later contributors will slowly but surely take ownership of the DAO. This is also appropriate and reasonable: In a world of zero growth and monthly 1% dilutions, it would take a cohort of new contributors ~6 years to capture over 50% of the total DAO value (0.99 ^ 72, if you’re curious).
Inflationary allocations of loot stake must be constant and predictable, regardless of the work performed. This may seem counterintuitive, but consider:
Coordinape is a great way for recording contributions, but humans are imperfect. Research into human dynamics shows that we are generally unable to maintain deep working relationships with large groups of people. The specific limit is the subject of some debate, and some research indicates that 50 may be the right number. Regardless of the specific numerical limit, value in large groups will naturally flow to the most visible members rather than the most valuable members. Therefore we must take the loot shares and break them up into smaller, more manageable pieces that can be distributed with appropriate local accountability.
So, how do we do that? Especially with 10,000+ members?
In a traditional organization, investment budget is determined top-down: a CEO or Board of Directors allocates funds to different departments, who in turn fund projects and individual hires. In our new decentralized world, the broader DAO membership community takes charge of funding strategies, project areas, and projects. At each successive level, votes are restricted: only members of that sub-groups are eligible to vote on and allocate reward stake to individual contribution circles.
Done properly, we push down ownership and responsibility; we allow each part of the organization to grow and thrive as an independent organism, operating without direct control but coordinated through the collective intelligence of the whole.
If new inflationary loot shares can be issued by our DAO in exchange for tribute, and these shares are valued at or below the current market or treasury value of the DAO, we’ve inadvertently created an arbitrage situation where newly issued stake can be immediately flipped for a profit. We’ve diluted existing ownership for no purpose, and the bots will find us. With a 10% premium on new stake we’ll limit issuance to new contributing members or particularly motivated large-scale investors.